Saturday, January 23, 2010

My guess for LeBron Day "7-1"


On Thursday, I provided three reasons why LeBron James will stay with the Cavaliers when he becomes a free agent on July 1. On Friday, I provided three reasons why he'll leave Cleveland on July 1.

Today, I said I'd give my prediction as to what he will actually do. Here it is:

I have no idea. That's the truth.
In my (worthless) opinion, LeBron has no idea what he wants to do on July 1 and he won't know until this season plays out. I bet he has ideas. But he is intelligent, a smart businessman. He knows that premature decisions can often be wrong ones. He is going to let this thing play out, think about all the options, consider alternatives, and then he'll make a decision. I don't think there is a plan in place as far as him knowing where he wants to go, if he is leaving Cleveland. Maybe he knows that he's staying, and he and the Cavaliers are ironing out that plan. That doesn't seem to far fetched. But I doubt it.
A lot will happen after this season. Shaq will be gone. Z will be gone. The Cavs will have cap space and money to spend, so if I were LeBron, I'd wait to see what the team's plans are as far as personnel before I signed on the dotted line.
Does he stay if the Cavs win the NBA Finals this year? Maybe? Would it guarantee it? I don't think so. Does he leave if the Cavs don't win the NBA Finals? Maybe? Would it guarantee it? I don't think so.
Does he value loyalty over money? Money over winning? Perception above all else? I don't have the answers, but they are intriguing questions.
To close, I will say this: I will be surprised (pleasantly) if LeBron remains in Cleveland. I will not be surprised if he leaves.

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